Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1471.743009 1711.497999 1991.566753 2346.353971 2788.797560 3329.099067 4.049420e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1143.553886 1439.182213 1823.835881 2374.150030 3164.207120 4296.174217 6.118700e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 969.385318 1276.436504 1701.985216 2357.920986 3389.114780 5037.296968 8.087120e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 865.811216 1183.546262 1647.906326 2411.506222 3714.324291 6023.102898 1.093650e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 755.226430 1059.725401 1521.761126 2318.041073 3762.384103 6536.150117 1.315989e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 671.684631 963.451964 1420.506928 2240.877974 3812.052987 7060.407332 1.572966e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 602.149932 879.593498 1325.940803 2155.249458 3820.342767 7497.869857 1.839195e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 577.723991 863.920399 1340.536401 2267.424140 4251.195909 9056.716122 2.567088e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 548.611412 836.699294 1330.733773 2330.146966 4593.846024 10564.782057 3.460199e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 519.594553 806.200980 1310.552476 2367.536042 4889.324037 12101.401103 4.598836e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 487.018137 766.142974 1267.665206 2349.546728 5045.177412 13311.182250 5.808068e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 469.787293 751.369983 1270.209270 2429.840724 5480.501687 15719.671966 8.332533e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 454.839508 740.582292 1281.717134 2539.579008 6058.993088 19203.746803 1.315805e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 434.235837 717.563063 1266.518849 2585.666908 6479.301378 22500.381828 2.003983e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 409.721932 684.739011 1227.025978 2564.286988 6682.681511 25037.548498 2.840472e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 394.579210 668.487354 1220.232581 2624.835555 7187.830582 29761.146322 4.836246e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 367.681257 627.059525 1155.007564 2520.313298 7076.109486 30868.506760 6.188287e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 344.672975 591.690414 1099.708554 2434.285278 7009.940137 32285.198467 8.211049e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 322.964330 557.464725 1043.930287 2338.897980 6882.305702 33234.116937 1.060308e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 318.540559 557.693674 1065.136638 2463.875453 7684.753358 42383.588635 2.895882e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 310.498193 549.839520 1067.017043 2533.848983 8300.523702 51535.711092 8.790026e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 301.181127 538.607888 1059.820622 2575.591538 8818.428882 61248.295089 3.660915e+07
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 288.924603 520.323790 1034.087712 2555.504739 9039.745902 68451.218694 1.892749e+08